Odds Of Getting Hit By Falling Satellite Pretty Good

Duck!

According to C-3P0, the odds of successfully navigating an asteroid field are approximately 3,720 to 1. According to NASA, the odds of someone getting hit by a piece of falling satellite this week are slightly better, at 3,200 to 1. On approximately September 23, the Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS), a dead six-ton satellite decommissioned in 2005, is expected to crash to Earth. Upon entering Earth’s atmosphere, the satellite is expected by NASA scientists to break into 26 pieces (an oddly precise number for something falling from space) and crash on every continent except Antarctica.

That means your morning Cheerios could potentially be interrupted by a pieceĀ  of space junk weighing up to 350 pounds landing in your lap. On the plus side, no one has ever been hit before by a piece of man-made space debris. However, someone always has to make the record books by being first.

Given the lack of control over this situation, it’s easy to understand why Han said, “Never tell me the odds!”

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One Response to Odds Of Getting Hit By Falling Satellite Pretty Good

  1. Kelson September 23, 2011 at 1:35 PM CDT #

    FWIW, that’s a 1 in 3200 chance that someone, somewhere on the planet will get hit.

    The chances of a specific person getting hit are *much* higher. You might say that they’re…astronomical.

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